Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001970 0.002065 0.002165 0.002277 0.002402 0.002535 0.002691
2025-06-22 0.001816 0.001949 0.002096 0.002271 0.002476 0.002711 0.003006
2025-06-29 0.001690 0.001845 0.002021 0.002239 0.002507 0.002831 0.003266
2025-07-06 0.001603 0.001773 0.001972 0.002225 0.002549 0.002961 0.003550
2025-07-13 0.001496 0.001667 0.001871 0.002137 0.002485 0.002942 0.003626
2025-07-20 0.001442 0.001621 0.001839 0.002128 0.002519 0.003053 0.003898
2025-07-27 0.001406 0.001595 0.001827 0.002144 0.002584 0.003212 0.004267
2025-08-03 0.001361 0.001554 0.001794 0.002127 0.002601 0.003299 0.004535
2025-08-10 0.001336 0.001536 0.001788 0.002146 0.002668 0.003469 0.004984
2025-08-17 0.001301 0.001503 0.001762 0.002133 0.002687 0.003563 0.005312
2025-08-24 0.001265 0.001467 0.001728 0.002108 0.002684 0.003620 0.005579
2025-08-31 0.001257 0.001468 0.001744 0.002154 0.002795 0.003886 0.006382
2025-09-07 0.001239 0.001455 0.001742 0.002174 0.002868 0.004100 0.007178
2025-09-14 0.001208 0.001424 0.001712 0.002152 0.002870 0.004182 0.007670
2025-09-21 0.001175 0.001389 0.001676 0.002117 0.002848 0.004212 0.008034
2025-09-28 0.001151 0.001364 0.001654 0.002103 0.002858 0.004310 0.008666
2025-10-05 0.001107 0.001313 0.001591 0.002022 0.002748 0.004142 0.008317
2025-10-12 0.001088 0.001294 0.001574 0.002014 0.002766 0.004249 0.009026
2025-10-19 0.001077 0.001286 0.001573 0.002028 0.002823 0.004454 0.010296
2025-10-26 0.001057 0.001266 0.001553 0.002013 0.002826 0.004533 0.011106
2025-11-02 0.001048 0.001259 0.001553 0.002030 0.002889 0.004770 0.013034
2025-11-09 0.001032 0.001242 0.001537 0.002018 0.002897 0.004872 0.014376
2025-11-16 0.001013 0.001222 0.001514 0.001995 0.002882 0.004911 0.015394